Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 3:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 3:09:00 A.M. to 10/26/2026, 3:10:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
81% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,190.16
Unexplained QUAI: 2,094.65
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
8
72.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
11,284.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 11285 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 3:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,827.47 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,362.69 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,028.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,024.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,946.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
61 tx
14,356.7 QUAI • 76 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:08:45 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
7,915.33 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:07:41 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
11,284.81 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:09:50 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate17 tx
27,582.19 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:06:37 A.M.
+2 min
33 tx
2,626.62 QUAI • 40 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:10:54 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
14,631.91 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:05:32 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
3,150.84 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:11:59 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/26/2026, 3:13:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,028.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:09:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
107.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:09:28 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0071558C3Def376ea480601feFE2452DE27757Ce
Tx: 0x006b0056a8114b3bd4fff089d2b972bbd6af586b8f57541ee46823e0c237bdf8
2,028.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:09:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Tx: 0x006d002a84d0a729654f0f702191ba41d7ff6b840b0722cc56f661704a96cdf3
353.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:09:14 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Tx: 0x005200567e381a016ee68ec38b6492cd89b35721b63bd1193e5a5180d0e973f0
2,024.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:09:14 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Tx: 0x0032003dc966e5ffd0bb6256a148042687e03272641b93707da78d0252de8c2e
330.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:09:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006Fc3678cC1Cab66671cf88646A4a0bbbA995DF
Tx: 0x0010007fc9a1efadd93f68cabe16ba4a2cc696627c02e5e132b02cc3519a2532
498.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:09:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0061625f72324047381d519e80cd4054FE1F2b8f
Tx: 0x00790060c2f34cc3b7229b2bf2ab181f4f4a78af9b628b770904081bea594b1b
1,900.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:09:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Tx: 0x0037006e768c5aff4046dfe216e670656b40b5b8793632c5751a8b7329699b11
1,946.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 3:09:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x001e0043e7954c74b3636bbe18913e848c7ae291fd164e040d8f13b528100c7c
