Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 2:39:00 A.M. to 10/26/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 781.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 550
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
781.5 QUAI
550 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 782 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
440.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Net receiver
Unknown type
440.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x00ecdF5e83BeE19532bE096d3991E7b7bC50718C
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:38:44 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:37:40 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
781.5 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:39:48 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate22 tx
25,915.29 QUAI • 40 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:36:36 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:40:53 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
2,331.33 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:35:31 A.M.
+3 min
20 tx
24,701.39 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:41:57 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
3,188.77 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:43:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
440.04 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:39:28 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
134.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:39:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003F08D446081727C9324D3A618109CF05AaC075
Tx: 0x006e0050d439fd15f8b539df52b45b522ba18892674117818f6d32349420f26a
440.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:39:28 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Tx: 0x003b005d9bb59febb9f969ce93fcaeac2e248b3cd0b94a4ed419378b8b1e03ea
106.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:39:28 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005aF2683fAc9733B9F767C7ADAd7f3E0864cE0B
Tx: 0x002a0047249f23a60f4b044ff6fcb179397b20a0c4c26e9aa1d62f0a5e3df604
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:39:28 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00ecdF5e83BeE19532bE096d3991E7b7bC50718C
Tx: 0x007e005a51225e585fc8830134cb56721898e32faffd79ecc5b500e7f5790077
200 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:39:28 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x000b005c7bd095ee5aae46baf0a62dcf4b3f60779ef31bd5381e1171a74c97bc
99.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:39:28 A.M.
From: 0x003E0106a1BfF1AC9CEa34b7CE0633C2E588DC13
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0025002fd5a2258ff6273f795dad9ca2336d1ad459c1baa39c515c409385237e