Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 2:18:00 A.M. to 10/26/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,476.43
Unexplained QUAI: 21,605.44
Explained QI: 2.78
Unexplained QI: 347.22
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
4.9x above local average
13x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
7
38.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
36
Asset volume
25,081.87 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
67.4%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93 • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 25082 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93 • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,827.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,400.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,313.48 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
762.11 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0009E45a232b171d89bd3228Cc215C95C98563fa
Net receiver
Unknown type
612.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate18 tx
25,081.87 QUAI • 36 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:18:27 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
1,928.79 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:17:23 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
316 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:16:19 A.M.
-3 min
17 tx
6,554.11 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:15:14 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
2,208.54 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:20:33 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:14:10 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
4,149.85 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:21:37 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
717.8 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/26/2026, 2:13:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,126.59 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:18:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
700.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:18:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x0055004e922b1ef8be610307e41c95d5ff78cb3e8c47e2d5d0f0e116bce78b1c
493.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:18:25 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0027a5bC35F2EA14fB6427668a2233eE5DDE73bD
Tx: 0x003e006248de08d93b0be42ea8c739da1990877e88a26664f6a6840fb72438de
1,126.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:18:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000BBa62497b778FAd623f3C5c73B28B9e305F93
Tx: 0x00260051f3dff6561661f92a2f6593f0128b404f5bc38d38d02b49c87f0cc16b
274.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:18:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000b9EE8862a0d01126bBf6729bE475626e5bEF0
Tx: 0x00310027698f7f7ce8a6c78bb5dcd164f6ae5a31995916e0376ab500fc682174
612.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:18:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0009E45a232b171d89bd3228Cc215C95C98563fa
Tx: 0x0006005e2361f71edab93329b92d8038a25b591e5891d5e771cf9083d570fb4d
268.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:18:20 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0025E8476A4d9B0a14A490d982899384F3e42437
Tx: 0x00790063186de886241d1e47eb6464e095fb67a33eaa5c4f2580e2ca63595f27
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 2:18:09 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00D81F1E559aa5858cA0622347ad301D2449C659
Tx: 0x007e00a4c7ae43434474528b47e5321b55607b051d94f9da84d74d3e5889a302