Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 1:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 1:13:00 A.M. to 10/26/2026, 1:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,999.05
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
5.9x above local average
5.9x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
19,999.05 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x0080568dc2306e9927a7B5f14C15eCC9D6F03781 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 1:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0080568dc2306e9927a7B5f14C15eCC9D6F03781
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x0080568dc2306e9927a7B5f14C15eCC9D6F03781
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
19,999.05 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:13:28 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
3,399.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:12:24 A.M.
-2 min
30 tx
686.55 QUAI • 45 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:11:20 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:14:31 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:10:16 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:15:36 A.M.
-4 min
53 tx
2,663.12 QUAI • 65 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:09:12 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
178.84 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:16:40 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.05 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 1:13:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 1:13:13 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0080568dc2306e9927a7B5f14C15eCC9D6F03781
Tx: 0x007400e84ab2eab94383e0895f425f2aff5d7cab20f5837a21cac5be720fde79
19,999.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 1:13:00 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x001d0079f78baaccf93693dddf3e5076896d0ab730d03882d2ce9fbaa26f2e66
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 1:13:00 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0080568dc2306e9927a7B5f14C15eCC9D6F03781
Tx: 0x0019006318e31d31907c17d742816bc555c1c4cd66f7e3980822b248efea7b85