Spike bucket
10/26/2026, 1:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/26/2026, 1:07:00 A.M. to 10/26/2026, 1:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
25% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11.7
Unexplained QUAI: 34.64
Explained QI: 650
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
4.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
46.34 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0080568dc2306e9927a7B5f14C15eCC9D6F03781.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 46 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0080568dc2306e9927a7B5f14C15eCC9D6F03781.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/26/2026, 1:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0080568dc2306e9927a7B5f14C15eCC9D6F03781
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
11.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
46.34 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:07:04 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:06:01 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
11.7 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:08:08 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:04:56 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate53 tx
2,663.12 QUAI • 65 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:09:12 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
26.42 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:03:52 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:10:16 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/26/2026, 1:02:48 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 1:07:20 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0080568dc2306e9927a7B5f14C15eCC9D6F03781
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
11.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 1:07:20 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00302D8f13e9f1db8c6c527F041D4331a49D1261
Tx: 0x0030007199813c548649118d9bb482ad25e18de1b14674bd1e56b8cd49eb2ac8
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 1:07:20 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0080568dc2306e9927a7B5f14C15eCC9D6F03781
Tx: 0x00760053254304ea57d0b825dd0c8695a6b3e85fbe9771596445a02fb2fa0cbf
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/26/2026, 1:07:20 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00650041ed554011ee47e097109f24769fc859e10c01cc59ae5e1938adc8eeb0