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Spike bucket

10/26/2026, 12:40:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/26/2026, 12:40:00 A.M. to 10/26/2026, 12:41:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 9,996

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 350

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume

Relative context

8.0x above local average

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

9,996 QUAI

350 QI

Avg confidence

87.3%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0024b8069B746863034e46A2eB2F4dcd8548B4c7.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 9996 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0024b8069B746863034e46A2eB2F4dcd8548B4c7.

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00c699E23ABF2B1a3dB31EEe5A40FC812Fb85865 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 10/26/2026, 12:40:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net sender

Exchange

9,996 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0024b8069B746863034e46A2eB2F4dcd8548B4c7

Net receiver

Unknown type

9,996 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net sender

Unknown type

352.79 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00c699E23ABF2B1a3dB31EEe5A40FC812Fb85865

Net receiver

Unknown type

352.79 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00c699E23ABF2B1a3dB31EEe5A40FC812Fb85865

2 repeated flows • 350 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 9,996 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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3 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 5. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.