Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 11:09:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 11:10:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
9% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 165.6
Unexplained QUAI: 1,586.33
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 1,000
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
5.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
57
Observable rows
11
19.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
81
Asset volume
1,751.94 QUAI
1,000 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1752 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 11:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (91% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (9%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
114.95 QUAI across 10 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
50.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00230CC1B87355585f7687e476e8F7BaAdEb5d21
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
42.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Net receiver
Unknown type
13.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:08:31 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate57 tx
1,751.94 QUAI • 81 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:09:36 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:07:28 P.M.
+2 min
11 tx
165.6 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:10:40 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:06:23 P.M.
+3 min
30 tx
518.03 QUAI • 45 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:11:45 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:05:20 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:12:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
50.65 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00230CC1B87355585f7687e476e8F7BaAdEb5d21
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
50.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00230CC1B87355585f7687e476e8F7BaAdEb5d21
Tx: 0x005a002aa3195fbe42b7ccb5935e0e1db92a363f8740496879aa29adc983fe8e
4.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007927F508440032Db37A5f7c1e653d9917B429B
Tx: 0x0062006ee8eb7c9a6cd74de26412049e241e48d13d5b1f8ab74785b113a6ebb1
4.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005B855F9C4f10130D99E19C21f7c7dDFC2955E6
Tx: 0x005e0019a5651070cab902e2f0be0655b8f7526370891f2ff7841fb74a79e591
11.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00108F6570E8DA669d41c0eD733D3fb43849a868
Tx: 0x0065000e8b1e976244d4719d90c216735827c934169b20da10bc920d50c00008
7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
Tx: 0x0029001c1c917766b05be5a969177dfc7de5f2e3e73c82582b7b04b107c374a6
7.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
Tx: 0x00640071630c997ce5c3d56926f27c02002173f7f5ae319da130f51c763e4e67
13.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x0040003be8ce876527a4d99bd221b3591890ee5b113ce404adc362ee3033916f
42.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x007a005fc81cd5fae238df04d49efe7bad604380efb62a27f7c9fd60a40890c7
10.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0079d0F0104553d47f0DB40208a7a40f474e5e5A
Tx: 0x007b003bae57d2f8b0408f43f90c3cacb6cab41c7f76f81ae6898ba085f621be
4.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00628C2Cbf0754262132a4e33Cdd8f4F91767404
Tx: 0x000700480cd3bd0de2ad6291311b478411aa7dea8751a056da9c97aee3e89468
9.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:09:57 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002E3d9A44C87B179Fe996e5fa183271c28c736F
Tx: 0x0071001fb19c1db2e596f8be46f05685ce5ef6be8f0edadedf7aca2627e9b998