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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 6:05:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 6:05:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 6:06:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 21,647.26

Unexplained QUAI: 37.82

Explained QI: 2.78

Unexplained QI: 347.22

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume

Relative context

7.4x above local average

562x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

21,685.08 QUAI

350 QI

Avg confidence

69.6%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x006196d6E00E07A602653BffE4D940FdB214389a.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 21685 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x006196d6E00E07A602653BffE4D940FdB214389a.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 10/25/2026, 6:05:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool

Net sender

Miner pool

21,647.26 QUAI across 4 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006196d6E00E07A602653BffE4D940FdB214389a

Net receiver

Unknown type

12,167.24 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00690166E86cB4C058712b1fB7A54eFb2e754A76

Net receiver

Unknown type

8,730.1 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005Ddb9A9bf043C6F85346801C9376Eb6FB7D83d

Net receiver

Unknown type

530.1 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0036EFAbdA65DFE0D0539D080E970D33BE13F7A3

Net receiver

Unknown type

219.81 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 7. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.