Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 5:10:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 5:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
75% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 301.55
Unexplained QUAI: 101.29
Explained QI: 2.42
Unexplained QI: 297.58
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 13% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
24
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
402.84 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
63.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 403 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 24 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (25% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 24 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
301.55 QUAI across 23 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
39.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
37.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
31.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Net receiver
Unknown type
19.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
402.84 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:10:17 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate51 tx
1,647.58 QUAI • 64 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:09:12 P.M.
+1 min
24 tx
301.55 QUAI • 50 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:11:21 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:08:08 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
531.35 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:12:25 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
55.96 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:07:04 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,015.06 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:13:28 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:06:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
39.04 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
All transfers in this selected minute
24 transactions
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:29 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x002e00dbb5607abb7288633d26179e336b95e9dc04e465eb1d886a36d481149c
5.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
Tx: 0x001a002a901469d1d93f4131070c70565cf0c644044d106952b8d9fecd5600f8
10.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x0065002bdf3989fa093baa92dce955760d2aa8a667a7626536e96d196f823725
37.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x0017007b37a7fcc784d46df72de660387b9be3281d2e2a445dabbfcb1cd2410a
7.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0079d0F0104553d47f0DB40208a7a40f474e5e5A
Tx: 0x007f002aa37d9b4dad2fdda939d2cda2db381a5d623d03f4da8c63e54bd2aa9d
8.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00628C2Cbf0754262132a4e33Cdd8f4F91767404
Tx: 0x002e005d402216ef2411a1f9e9e129a767082230141f6172c699b5c5c99f732d
5.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002E3d9A44C87B179Fe996e5fa183271c28c736F
Tx: 0x004a0035ef43a696af06809923e983fd7beec019a91b2cb3f650ce29303d0da8
19.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x002a0043692558e09ab8ca4d7a0c76a38768fe72db8d973eec97430ae9b65680
12.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001E6d34B2c76A6dB0ae13eF0DBE8F1Ed7a85ad
Tx: 0x005200062c34d937fff88f176ab1925947a7b1235968622896de64bceb36a955
5.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003E4f5D14959D4a4A89423aEd5eD07c16eEA524
Tx: 0x005a0024d1f189c11910aa3e1ce2b2276087e24c072fa31291d91b86eaa86be4
14.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x005900692370ac3587ac29b4e5daec11a5634b4b7735982c19fb62c221d8cb9b
4.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002d9879066dafFA65f3E73BDEd7371e2371626A
Tx: 0x004a0061961098a3bc5b468ec513ee34f65e95ff1ca662de5a43c84825122285
6.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00219Effd4a47bA0d2D24F512D987f3B0B20F23A
Tx: 0x006e001f0745ddadad8129be59c7b1962db21079d6f754078e59fab9e25f9d8e
9.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0032257362206B92efe6782d48c81D1E2A4546Da
Tx: 0x00750064fd99da360754516b2b93dd281b931edabe4d6354ab892552a150219c
15.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Tx: 0x0063004fe609622193403cefb20e329536f538360cfba6b0157288c5d9fe18f9
14.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007D8a473723790DDBED074B846015F5A383045A
Tx: 0x0010003fe056b3e1d47d63d35aa1eb201978a451bd89139f946048d4a85c7237
6.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x004a00576ce2198d9e260bd8b33cb485eec7eed5d5dadc8558ae1683dd35375b
6.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x0051002942038b8eb653a849b427dc5c96f974f0711e8579083e5f294e025b98
6.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x000a006a02edaacf13d8b52c828642d3fc43ed1d8340be3ab36378b3795bdd04
6.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Tx: 0x0023005d128537f5289b8818bdb2f2c19c4a5a1b98dfecbd49edde185d9e6e53
13.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x0016005eca5b239094212efd63cac96e04c1acd581def53a9f8e26766329b79b
13.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Tx: 0x003a0028b891cbdd04174aeaf9ba859e1367ad3e33666f3143f16bc307598e30
39.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x004500008527ac2cf9ec5a8d869f5212787b0f533d8b71a36738130f17922253
31.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x002300322784318ba32d969c725823d1cf182f2f50d97df76a85d22b0c0406db
