Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 4:57:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 4:57:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 4:58:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40,240.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1000
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
230x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
40,065.63 QUAI
1000 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 40066 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00C556044726ADC0Ce84e19d29E1e824Ef454E2B (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 4:57:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
39,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net receiver
Unknown type
39,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00C556044726ADC0Ce84e19d29E1e824Ef454E2B
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.43 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00C556044726ADC0Ce84e19d29E1e824Ef454E2B
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 39,996 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
40,065.63 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:57:28 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:56:24 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:55:21 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
174.47 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:58:32 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
39,997.69 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:54:16 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:59:36 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
56,377.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:53:11 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:00:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
39,996 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:57:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:57:57 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x004f0091e4e59fd02cb7fe65aee18ef70e58a044e833548095f25e77d93f48c6
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:57:57 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C556044726ADC0Ce84e19d29E1e824Ef454E2B
Tx: 0x003a00b50690b723f8a41e9fc12c68e3e63cbd26578a4f02bd334b245672ee94
174.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:57:39 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x002C58cE9486A3A016a803eA267417d071D2D92f
Tx: 0x003d002d0c472ed7c4f0f91015c05dfe41b3de41742fb40afce5992931a50d1e
49.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:57:23 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0015001c1e33348f604bc78079bbf98e342ee94d6000f6af06cec053fbca15bf
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:57:23 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C556044726ADC0Ce84e19d29E1e824Ef454E2B
Tx: 0x00430027b28079e82e2c6c5d894b0d442e7728cf3193d94fccb4dd39d599cb36
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:57:23 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x0048006e71280fbbbbc5981ad4f75877ed648ad3b9aff64febbcea3eeac5761d
20.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:57:23 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x0020004bba8331492a135d04daf5eeb169d8d035521232b3a2906049e1a50dfc
39,996 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:57:23 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Tx: 0x00410064a80b12e0a008f9b6457baaa6d22b99d5637d4d4c833cb427b1e1d372