Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 4:53:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 4:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
71% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 39,997.69
Unexplained QUAI: 16,380.08
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
1.4x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
56,377.76 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 56378 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 4:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.48 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
56,377.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:53:11 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:52:08 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
39,997.69 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:54:16 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
19,999.2 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:51:04 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:55:21 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
40,280 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:50:00 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:56:24 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,018.6 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:48:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.21 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:53:43 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:53:43 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C556044726ADC0Ce84e19d29E1e824Ef454E2B
Tx: 0x007100e6926a13e0c32d6e9606997bebe1cfd7a2b1154f693ac7a4ec67c6ccb6
19,998.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:53:43 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007800711e9585b3e3ebc9ab1dc4e0efa40f1060c9999067a20a5fa4079f7b45
19,999.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:53:43 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x000b000e7c0f5216a4d928158fdb27254d16ac454cd937ede9d515183657792b
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:53:43 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x003d00051374ecf1628e9c9d2753b45a9d68e823709cd5be78370f9b00f0cf30