Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 4:50:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 4:50:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 4:51:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,999.2
Unexplained QUAI: 20,280.8
Explained QI: 1000
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
40x previous minute
2.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
40,280 QUAI
1000 QI
Avg confidence
92.4%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 40280 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00C556044726ADC0Ce84e19d29E1e824Ef454E2B (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 4:50:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00C556044726ADC0Ce84e19d29E1e824Ef454E2B
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.43 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00C556044726ADC0Ce84e19d29E1e824Ef454E2B
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
40,280 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:50:00 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1,018.6 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:48:56 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
19,999.2 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:51:04 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
40,330.12 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:47:52 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:52:08 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:46:48 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
56,377.76 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:53:11 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:45:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.2 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:50:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:50:51 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x003f00e6244bc265ef09432e8891a7aabd497e41b4e7bcb932ca8f38a5316c4a
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:50:51 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C556044726ADC0Ce84e19d29E1e824Ef454E2B
Tx: 0x007e009699896f8976be3f30ceee5765aa17901bee0de0ab2522d16dd465afec
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:50:06 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x000900413a2f0472bd48f506b12b4ed1108138f4c995c4f487554fe356f5dadf
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:50:06 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C556044726ADC0Ce84e19d29E1e824Ef454E2B
Tx: 0x006b00344e4a73498106420d43d9801dc6a12be393f228f9e53d065cd389b655
19,999.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:50:06 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x002e006db93c608101a0ef2b302ad9f888db273eb595ce3d4911caabf70788f4