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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 4:12:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 4:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 410.85
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1000
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
410.85 QUAI
1000 QI
Avg confidence
83.7%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0092CC89Fe08b52EB545679b69B0eFe31599dbC6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 411 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0092CC89Fe08b52EB545679b69B0eFe31599dbC6.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x0092CC89Fe08b52EB545679b69B0eFe31599dbC6 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0092CC89Fe08b52EB545679b69B0eFe31599dbC6
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
410.85 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.42 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.42 QI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x0092CC89Fe08b52EB545679b69B0eFe31599dbC6
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 410.85 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

350 QI
Whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:12:35 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0092CC89Fe08b52EB545679b69B0eFe31599dbC6
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:12:35 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x001c00e27ebecf90d02f1810d6160ef5adc9ec7278e384c51d313313fadab8a3
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:12:35 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0092CC89Fe08b52EB545679b69B0eFe31599dbC6
Tx: 0x001900c0f6aa55dce3865a86096be623a475f94a9271cc41679a4177ca5ab1d9
Open txWallet profile
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:12:12 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00660043bcf61dbafc42109f5a8dff721542b5ec87da0139f819c16efe1a83cc
200.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:12:12 P.M.
From: 0x004F6aFd2f1B23d13CD09bBC9A69cDDc9aBa217A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c005c27f53ce6c8f78f2a6129ea3e31bba85097b5ec7db3ef66bcede8357b
Open txWallet profile
100.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:12:12 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a004e5f5125f98ba256ba2ba063d2e1037a1da22dfbab8868f264652ee460
Open txWallet profile
109.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:12:12 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0030004407195c23b89987e66099a5b638185d070840363d76d42813baa13665
Open txWallet profile
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:12:12 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0092CC89Fe08b52EB545679b69B0eFe31599dbC6
Tx: 0x00230056e889f3c1bc46579ffe1a1ef3b87d815c3dd799c3d4b416af0bbc66f2
Open txWallet profile