Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 4:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 4:09:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 4:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 258.01
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.42
Unexplained QI: 297.58
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
23
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
0 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
63.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 23 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 4:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 23 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
258.01 QUAI across 22 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
38.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
25.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007D8a473723790DDBED074B846015F5A383045A
Net receiver
Unknown type
17.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:09:22 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,965.43 QUAI • 67 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:08:18 P.M.
+1 min
23 tx
258.01 QUAI • 40 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:10:27 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
29.19 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:07:14 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
50.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:06:09 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:11:31 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:05:05 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
410.85 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 4:12:36 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
38.27 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
All transfers in this selected minute
23 transactions
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:42 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x006100e673455b052901a6157287536c24ab3d6657dd8cb8d67740dec5643522
5.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00610e8E9Bbf5933193917ae6c6cA02104c8a670
Tx: 0x003200363917e7af13d38199718fe9668b477a2392c540e07ed31a12214636d6
5.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
Tx: 0x006f007150bca4a79e7a7dbe958b73dd35ff45c8c9e060e7f19109c2fd336c3d
8.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x0000002d31dc7418791d5e63641b8510622af02312e119b3ec35ca3bd88ed46a
5.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007C8DE1bE082D62C6dA8cD95B6B9347d9A20dCA
Tx: 0x004900127f84a71883e18515fbb0eb59d8314a6b17e99b04a7a5b41d86f503a9
32.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x007d005369f88bad33e026f931bcb31dac5d7a59e6f07f3291bb4b103ff69909
6.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0079d0F0104553d47f0DB40208a7a40f474e5e5A
Tx: 0x007c006509e6d8668f593bed36d661f94b28122d7c85104571b424628873740c
4.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002E3d9A44C87B179Fe996e5fa183271c28c736F
Tx: 0x001e00513059432ee9b17cd408a8c481f8a2493f02b5ab0c422f90d16e17f369
15.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x0034001373c75a7d19340949404a70600285e5d1374f22cf03797a1d9c469633
5.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005E6F17BC0320c439526bf12AbDB525165Ca3b3
Tx: 0x00530020a5468d6230befbc1526542827c7b7f621922960c7b45336bbeb48cb8
11.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001E6d34B2c76A6dB0ae13eF0DBE8F1Ed7a85ad
Tx: 0x0010007dcb9f7afeebae3b095a9ec56e5b492c82f7cd6e5ee6e2f205ffea0a49
16.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x002900064105bb32dfd68e8343417a66ccadc5aabcaa76b6442090c1b39a2626
6.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001a52e946DfF9d7F5d8e98bda1bb8F9CEfCc058
Tx: 0x005400501e0972a5100809d05a708b1df0d1bc30b4958219369a3c86561aa92c
6.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00219Effd4a47bA0d2D24F512D987f3B0B20F23A
Tx: 0x002a00695c02dee585719d6a721af56c1bac0a1fba770fb2d6f6d8637e40a390
14.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00220BD68A83351cd0993b92903556327dAfCF08
Tx: 0x00200016e24ce85e987ec8253be355556f341db9dd5ecf07ead93435862ccb5f
17.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007D8a473723790DDBED074B846015F5A383045A
Tx: 0x005b003d837c86bac604b284fecb4dee25e98434f5d66bd7c09bd860312a1bcb
4.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003383ce062eE7aB8cb6f2Db5D231F55C1EC3Fb8
Tx: 0x0050002febf296edb11b828fb5330ca436c36eb66ae933e089f9edc1344df823
8.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007Cf2D445C1DCC0F4B4CB743F0596b6207C5723
Tx: 0x0044001816a4d7a1fd32ad32351b22f90b88a8b51f60048d947ab9d7f65edbb1
38.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x002f0069af66a691962aa180d993722ae5a8e9019b2a8b245a6b6d631b0ffbe9
4.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x007500714acbc6a4bd7f98c2329894effb0ea966c95cad0372f7a1e952c6e6b6
10.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x0028002ec8adae17702d3c9e005f773ec75d645e17e8c5ee918a168aaa94e154
25.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x007500078d335e5991476384dbe51a3bb10ea4b34e54b39ab84ec059b6226cdf
4.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 4:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046067EF3e4377fAF7b876111445563e1C222e9
Tx: 0x0044005002ad1c9abd49cc39e246bd577e219b153baa347cb366db3060ea995e
