Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 3:34:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 3:34:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:35:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
19% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 140.48
Unexplained QUAI: 584.03
Explained QI: 1000
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
46x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
724.52 QUAI
1000 QI
Avg confidence
92.4%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00F2627D31bA8c3021f36506DaCf6e7cA8cDFd8F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 725 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00F2627D31bA8c3021f36506DaCf6e7cA8cDFd8F.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00F2627D31bA8c3021f36506DaCf6e7cA8cDFd8F (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:34:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00F2627D31bA8c3021f36506DaCf6e7cA8cDFd8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.43 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.43 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
140.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00F2627D31bA8c3021f36506DaCf6e7cA8cDFd8F
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
724.52 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:34:10 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
15.89 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:33:06 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:35:16 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:36:19 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:31:01 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:37:23 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate7 tx
9,578.59 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:29:57 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:38:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:34:46 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00F2627D31bA8c3021f36506DaCf6e7cA8cDFd8F
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:34:46 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x002c00fc54f86ea5d9aa86ca677f306fc3dff6ad48b26020ac49e4f969110454
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:34:46 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00F2627D31bA8c3021f36506DaCf6e7cA8cDFd8F
Tx: 0x00140090079efbc0e6ce8f9569905bc32626015732547943752b82c757268967
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:34:04 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00330047208a60261ac6a28c05712eabce99a1885a4b95b9ba07611d5345042a
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:34:04 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00F2627D31bA8c3021f36506DaCf6e7cA8cDFd8F
Tx: 0x004e000951ecbbd4119ecba550bc60d749dcbc2fe9aa368921fbd0c259a3ab37
140.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:34:04 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x002C58cE9486A3A016a803eA267417d071D2D92f
Tx: 0x0043001c38b41c70d0329f137bb8824e573c8af8e69f82a9455ad0e35a7ff1a7
