Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 3:29:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 3:29:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:30:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,578.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
9,578.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001134643819e8CcE35912E4C706100d47Ea0A17 • 0x0078F60b310A7D5581BB1014a02E1c54E737b2BA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 9579 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001134643819e8CcE35912E4C706100d47Ea0A17 • 0x0078F60b310A7D5581BB1014a02E1c54E737b2BA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:29:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001134643819e8CcE35912E4C706100d47Ea0A17
Net sender
Unknown type
5,050 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078F60b310A7D5581BB1014a02E1c54E737b2BA
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,050 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,528.59 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000Cac6a584d4dC760f104240207bCdB71C09d2B
Net sender
Unknown type
789.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
Net sender
Unknown type
771.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,528.59 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
19 tx
14,963.21 QUAI • 36 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:28:52 P.M.
-1 min
23 tx
21,908.76 QUAI • 43 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:27:45 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
9,578.59 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:29:57 P.M.
-2 min
29 tx
32,344.04 QUAI • 53 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:26:41 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:31:01 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:25:36 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate38 tx
95,979.44 QUAI • 54 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:24:31 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
15.89 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:33:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,050 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:29:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001134643819e8CcE35912E4C706100d47Ea0A17
To: 0x0078F60b310A7D5581BB1014a02E1c54E737b2BA
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
747.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:29:23 P.M.
From: 0x0062AB24C7E6B8C3b3a6240fe7c4846d4da796d3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002400074af92f2344470c84a04482761034c98a17a9bc33abc4c7bc6cb5d07d
789.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:29:23 P.M.
From: 0x000Cac6a584d4dC760f104240207bCdB71C09d2B
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005800258b328126f67a528d6ecbad4d3ec2f335c33fe9e08a9a3e91baf54f01
742.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:29:23 P.M.
From: 0x00528D330019a25082b8d64d95dC5dAd8B2fEbfb
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0037007f3270d214f6ce3d54a414dc1a41708eb425ecad59adaf9290d5b56459
736.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:29:23 P.M.
From: 0x002bDCd2D7B3bE3C298d06C950BbC2daC3e61f17
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a001004a80122e569741cdbc03c7ec2188279ca431ac9a9d2a17459468f69
771.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:29:23 P.M.
From: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051007d5d18e82477f495fe20822200001d107000bd08cd67c5f834e3f54899
741.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:29:23 P.M.
From: 0x00005975e28e8f4E987795d73847956966e59FE3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017000e0f5e0e92ac802038e519cb81f19036a9b88aa49c30d0969b12714629
5,050 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:29:23 P.M.
From: 0x001134643819e8CcE35912E4C706100d47Ea0A17
To: 0x0078F60b310A7D5581BB1014a02E1c54E737b2BA
Tx: 0x006e001fd3c56b8e5235d264d651cf58c8965eb8cfedd2cbc78197838bee5ab1