Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 3:27:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:28:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
48% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,424.91
Unexplained QUAI: 11,483.85
Explained QI: 2.43
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 10% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
12
52.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
43
Asset volume
21,908.76 QUAI
2.43 QI
Avg confidence
65.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0011407D2c38be7393297877D0b6749b018f80e9.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 21909 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0011407D2c38be7393297877D0b6749b018f80e9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (52% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (48%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,424.91 QUAI across 11 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0011407D2c38be7393297877D0b6749b018f80e9
Net sender
Unknown type
1,014.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
Net sender
Unknown type
1,014.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001Fc8c4EAfFa9da504996AB2E54e2341D07980
Net sender
Unknown type
1,006.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00379A2575279D16617B9430937fAC5FC03Dc62c
Net sender
Unknown type
995.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,424.91 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
29 tx
32,344.04 QUAI • 53 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:26:41 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:25:36 P.M.
+1 min
23 tx
21,908.76 QUAI • 43 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:27:45 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate38 tx
95,979.44 QUAI • 54 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:24:31 P.M.
+2 min
19 tx
14,963.21 QUAI • 36 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:28:52 P.M.
+3 min
7 tx
9,578.59 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:29:57 P.M.
-4 min
7 tx
45,974.35 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:23:27 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:31:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,014.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011407D2c38be7393297877D0b6749b018f80e9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:31 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x001800bd75c2d7ebf6d178396750edccdb62b9f3ff7f336e0119cf0278722f42
887.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002d003efabac8cb3e225d455d13885b5af7d012b3460f451fb05c53d673ff94
1,014.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
From: 0x00239EafE421869111E18D750AE9B1E4eB9608ED
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00540023cc19a5be7ffeec2f218523874f52f641217dfe9802a3a9a9f1094f2e
974.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
From: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f004fb7f3ab2c64a9721df5afb168d21387092672140f41b6e07923769e52
995.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
From: 0x00379A2575279D16617B9430937fAC5FC03Dc62c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002500756ae28a7ca59d1b814061cc75712561402436afa33f9b5494b527c6e1
922.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
From: 0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c001e99bca84505cabbda8639d0b778f8386ec058d0d2131366cbe5cd6471
992.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
From: 0x00208fe2A8cD671046f1Ca485841BFF4f230890e
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c00577772e88cd35202ef6d7e55e4e4bbde782c0585b2cdbaf715bf312b19
897.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
From: 0x001c9765Baa98a952401E23a32055617bCE29d78
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004800643d1dbd8eeb6fefb069f6496f8eadce56d0f5d27e2171c7aef41c15e6
1,014.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
From: 0x0011407D2c38be7393297877D0b6749b018f80e9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005300509d1fe9bb511fc42a9a0460a0bff9c453c9d0217dbb39d943325c8280
789.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
From: 0x007F55cB55A638Df4593Ae0764898AC9422aFD77
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c003726eb019b0865f851ede2edfec9981914837d6d4ab2690643cbdbf854
929.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
From: 0x00180199fd8acE48A179b407f98e5dfdBEC25d89
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0016002287b8a3b0d6649c7fb81f500a607d177e7ccd7959f777d8dee7120347
1,006.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
From: 0x0001Fc8c4EAfFa9da504996AB2E54e2341D07980
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031005d617498f4699e2835aafdef4daa8b49593bcc61daf1751007f0f91bdc
