Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 3:22:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
9% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 45,974.35
Unexplained QUAI: 486,200.51
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 350
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
1.1x previous minute
12x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
7
41.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
532,174.86 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 532175 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 46
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (91% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (9%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
45,974.35 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
Net sender
Unknown type
9,294.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005E602F080899ed6ccd995267e1e9215b25Df27
Net sender
Unknown type
7,499.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00196cd933929373dFB2E0c76206A5ae4Aa95838
Net sender
Unknown type
6,524.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00324AE400F640454EE973D68c92aBef92C9f89E
Net sender
Unknown type
6,350.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 45,974.35 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate17 tx
532,174.86 QUAI • 33 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:22:23 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
497,406.51 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:21:19 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
45,974.35 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:23:27 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:20:15 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
188.5 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:19:11 P.M.
+3 min
38 tx
95,979.44 QUAI • 54 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:24:31 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:18:07 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:25:36 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,294.83 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:22:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
5,433.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e0042f607a787085fed7feb2dfc23d2f97611ae71286fe61913470f811746
5,278.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e0014eec4cdb4a78704c7e2462822e4b4ab1b087c59659f4877253e92a5f0
5,592.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x0079Bd3163bB40E066F34C94777061e9748E89D7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c007e629a4de184e6f206a45943abea3ee70b8f8546c41fbe9f4197ea0913
6,350.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x00324AE400F640454EE973D68c92aBef92C9f89E
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d005165c5af2228342780d250e877683c68325f33f22ab8106354b09bd4f1
7,499.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x005E602F080899ed6ccd995267e1e9215b25Df27
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f0058e3eb1347476468cdfddb4175c4949b85955bfbdecf94e740d10e4bf2
9,294.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f007e63cd42eac7b5b93bf2770a05a2a16dfaa859fa8fdb18a68b77a99710
6,524.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:22:23 P.M.
From: 0x00196cd933929373dFB2E0c76206A5ae4Aa95838
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e002d3641c599634607c922f46b5bd32db61843e4563a4a76c6042d8cc1a1