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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 2:44:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 2:44:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 2:45:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

75% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 4,136.38

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 600

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume

Relative context

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

0 QUAI

600 QI

Avg confidence

87.3%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004F2943cCC39cceB274B8DAcfBad400635Fe818.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 0 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004F2943cCC39cceB274B8DAcfBad400635Fe818.

0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0 -> 0x008FFE166EDECC5c9daA3093222B2ea693E41EA4 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 10/25/2026, 2:44:00 P.M.

Coverage gap moderate (25% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9

Net sender

Unknown type

4,136.38 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

StratumX miner

Net receiver

Miner wallet

4,136.38 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0

Net sender

Unknown type

600 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x008FFE166EDECC5c9daA3093222B2ea693E41EA4

Net receiver

Unknown type

600 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0 → 0x008FFE166EDECC5c9daA3093222B2ea693E41EA4

2 repeated flows • 600 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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3 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 4. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.