Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 2:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 2:21:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 2:22:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 329.77
Unexplained QUAI: 656.29
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 89% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
986.06 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x008fc1c742281cBD9700627BA49D0b5f5BB0EdE2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 986 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x008fc1c742281cBD9700627BA49D0b5f5BB0EdE2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 2:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x008fc1c742281cBD9700627BA49D0b5f5BB0EdE2
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
293.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C58cE9486A3A016a803eA267417d071D2D92f
Net receiver
Unknown type
293.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
36.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:20:27 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
986.06 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:21:31 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:19:23 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
317.52 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:22:35 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
1,696.28 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:18:20 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:23:38 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:17:16 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
491.12 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:24:43 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:21:37 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008fc1c742281cBD9700627BA49D0b5f5BB0EdE2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:21:37 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008fc1c742281cBD9700627BA49D0b5f5BB0EdE2
Tx: 0x00090034f115c9059a2a39fc22836b3d22c7bf19fa0b4db2067a95ab62980c38
293.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:21:37 P.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x002C58cE9486A3A016a803eA267417d071D2D92f
Tx: 0x005f003741b0054e7ea5583e2a5470eb2f865f3fcd737d332043c0a0e952baa7
36.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:21:02 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x0026000d043789372b7a8c930f59edd29a5d4fc2f4384fc0c51cf0a2eb271acc