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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 12:08:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 12:09:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

51% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 46,015.89

Unexplained QUAI: 43,798.77

Explained QI: 650

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume

Relative context

6.4x above local average

106x next minute

Largest nearby bucket

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

98.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

89,814.66 QUAI

650 QI

Avg confidence

64.1%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0032Cd3E20aa8454C4D934a6e1C610D2c77B0ffc.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + low confidence + 89815 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 50

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0032Cd3E20aa8454C4D934a6e1C610D2c77B0ffc.

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 55 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source account-shape-default

Limits: confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 10/25/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.

Coverage gap moderate (49% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 55 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (51%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9

Net sender

Unknown type

43,814.49 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0032Cd3E20aa8454C4D934a6e1C610D2c77B0ffc

Net receiver

Unknown type

43,814.49 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

1,351.4 QUAI across 50 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x001Cea9cce7EEbb9E6B3068352EcEe5dec12a879

Net sender

Unknown type

850 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00140A415E1C9d797F49D67037b00ad6513E1D55

Net receiver

Unknown type

850 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8

2 repeated flows • 350 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

55 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 56. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.