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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 12:07:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 44,648.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
43,807.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
43,807.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00671bdb20731d2E1741c315F0629D3e8E26aBcb
Net sender
Unknown type
841 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001Cea9cce7EEbb9E6B3068352EcEe5dec12a879
Net receiver
Unknown type
841 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 43,807.77 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

43,807.77 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 12:07:50 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 12:07:56 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8
Tx: 0x001b00971fa416e4f12fb967e184558796aff19adec0d4f84471fc671298fe77
Open txWallet profile
841 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 12:07:50 P.M.
From: 0x00671bdb20731d2E1741c315F0629D3e8E26aBcb
To: 0x001Cea9cce7EEbb9E6B3068352EcEe5dec12a879
Tx: 0x000e0068c3fa65501bb4f5f9b0db0e62d414dd7e499b12ad39a065c412cc4c2a
43,807.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 12:07:50 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x00650056a5a97c2a2c0776bc969d1e21121c37fb22d10a01ca3231e635bd363b
Open txWallet profile
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 12:07:50 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8
Tx: 0x0021006816e6769aebb4f6ebbcc360dec46824b06f602f92ec76c80bfa73c8ba
Open txWallet profile