Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 12:04:00 P.M. to 10/25/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
47% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 319.56
Unexplained QUAI: 362.5
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
15x previous minute
2.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
682.06 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 682 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (53% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (47%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x007CD734fCd55dC723C76a7cCf5c8A66Ae157D83
Net sender
Unknown type
319.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
319.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
682.06 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 12:04:08 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
46.75 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 12:03:04 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
319.56 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 12:05:12 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate3 tx
20,001.72 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 12:02:00 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
19,999.16 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 12:06:16 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
7,199.28 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 12:00:56 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/25/2026, 12:07:20 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
321 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:59:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 12:04:31 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 12:04:46 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8
Tx: 0x003000e8252775e62d55b095ed0b4a746bbf6e1c6027d5454220072f27a0aadb
319.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 12:04:39 P.M.
From: 0x007CD734fCd55dC723C76a7cCf5c8A66Ae157D83
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x004e000c9b4a5e06bbf732bb9d51d8b9fab97d2160c9be2fd57c02ccbfed10da
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 12:04:31 P.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0088557c62b7A3cCA9d75190Fd54e72DEB209ab8
Tx: 0x007200686bbc413cd730f76dca14839aa7388d43a444e5c292ff9cbb03870319