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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 11:54:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 11:54:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 11:55:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
30% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,314.76
Unexplained QUAI: 16,821.33
Explained QI: 1000
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
24,136.09 QUAI
1000 QI
Avg confidence
83.7%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B • 0x00424acC56B811A6FF3Af2F51B50381FB57C0CB8.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 24136 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B • 0x00424acC56B811A6FF3Af2F51B50381FB57C0CB8.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 11:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (70% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (30%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B
Net sender
Unknown type
7,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00424acC56B811A6FF3Af2F51B50381FB57C0CB8
Net receiver
Unknown type
7,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.42 QI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

7,200 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:54:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B
To: 0x00424acC56B811A6FF3Af2F51B50381FB57C0CB8

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
80 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:54:39 A.M.
From: 0x001Cea9cce7EEbb9E6B3068352EcEe5dec12a879
To: 0x00671bdb20731d2E1741c315F0629D3e8E26aBcb
Tx: 0x0008004b2d252541bdf149ca79d4171ec28add8ce95ae2afd6d9a8cf07d7ba04
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:54:35 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x005f00dfc6c1bceb3b79aaaadf3a796aa998ede656b6bcb8033b27cb154a3750
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:54:35 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143
Tx: 0x004400f1ef5694f6dfef5192db229a4c8e2c4e0b1d93eb6ecea7650e37fc016c
Open txWallet profile
34.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:54:17 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007a000255303ce64561248a40cee6faa968095a9bd4367247a3027ab08efa99
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:54:17 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143
Tx: 0x006d0018251dab4855ebd5af969e81c80c4b47b12c6399b9fd9867e1ffae0fdf
Open txWallet profile
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:54:17 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x006b002fe8eff50b42a36482d0ba0411d92be365ae661b9b65cde7f23cd2a87d
7,200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:54:17 A.M.
From: 0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B
To: 0x00424acC56B811A6FF3Af2F51B50381FB57C0CB8
Tx: 0x005a004a0cffce71b5f1512667ef2d56daebfb9d7c89de0a197dc2b1367c8c58