Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 11:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 11:52:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 11:53:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 64,969.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 700
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
7.5x previous minute
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
43,959.48 QUAI
700 QI
Avg confidence
78.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0032Cd3E20aa8454C4D934a6e1C610D2c77B0ffc.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 43959 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0032Cd3E20aa8454C4D934a6e1C610D2c77B0ffc.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 11:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
43,966.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032Cd3E20aa8454C4D934a6e1C610D2c77B0ffc
Net receiver
Unknown type
43,966.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
21,003.5 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001653fB6051d3AB25B7aacd2D883c5e631BeEeC
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003937E6b84285138b395682Ef46f27B81BfF31B
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
43,959.48 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:52:24 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
5,900 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:51:19 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
64,969.7 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:53:28 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
33,593.83 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:50:16 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:49:12 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
24,136.09 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:54:32 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
18,821.85 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:48:08 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
80 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:55:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
43,966.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:52:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0032Cd3E20aa8454C4D934a6e1C610D2c77B0ffc
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:52:56 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143
Tx: 0x004c0043970edd3cf367b6f3476c4c8321639a9ef4f690c0b39390cfdef81448
43,966.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:52:42 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0032Cd3E20aa8454C4D934a6e1C610D2c77B0ffc
Tx: 0x00490060048044b4c57a18f1e149ed8660c41267e26051ccc6c8e2dc8ce11e95
1,003.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:52:27 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0077A46ff17DC4c8976793d456C64D04da5B1C6D
Tx: 0x0024000b57760e7062b5cd953cf363cfc945a8cc8dffc62b98e359d610fd66c9
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:52:27 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x001653fB6051d3AB25B7aacd2D883c5e631BeEeC
Tx: 0x00450010a52d6ca15b5e011a9d14389bbe3c77ee70b6a385cebd503f698390de
10,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:52:27 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x003937E6b84285138b395682Ef46f27B81BfF31B
Tx: 0x00760043912fb0bd389d801087e5d237fa94364fbbaa99a1c074263fbd78a165
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:52:12 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x003e00865161c25180b6f1e6271e313e93f12175f1138dee459c7cebcb9d3a47
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:52:12 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143
Tx: 0x006b00ee2ca791a347c9a5c8f11397741f28ece0b3aa9364c7807dbc9c32aa9c