Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 11:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 11:50:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 11:51:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 39,493.83
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
5.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
33,593.83 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
77.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 33594 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 11:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018b86aAE40735D4FC6B0e1338c1c3B3cb50D7d
Net sender
Unknown type
13,594.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,594.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B
Net sender
Unknown type
5,900 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
33,593.83 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:50:16 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:49:12 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
5,900 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:51:19 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
18,821.85 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:48:08 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
43,959.48 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:52:24 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:47:05 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
64,969.7 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:53:28 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
5,200 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:46:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.15 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:50:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:50:54 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143
Tx: 0x005b009e37e2c5ec17f73c6cef27cf198b7214d0662ff4dc197adc0ac8f2f50d
5,900 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:50:18 A.M.
From: 0x00790C75B5F8990769E9d379536ec926c62e1d7B
To: 0x00424acC56B811A6FF3Af2F51B50381FB57C0CB8
Tx: 0x003b002776239a61204151af368b0ee24945d6675a310b9bee6d597e2171ba57
13,594.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:50:03 A.M.
From: 0x0018b86aAE40735D4FC6B0e1338c1c3B3cb50D7d
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0078003c7fd2d1359eb3bb3c3170ccdad9ab527b7b3d2c818b2e3769e8e6a017
19,999.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:50:03 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x000a0078590133186e64fd9aa3fd930f3a9674e16184c64d84b158035a5be093
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:50:03 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x009DF749551B29e7A8CA2CAb7525015F4002B143
Tx: 0x002c0034f5b52fc73cfc786eb2161e766630b5796370e21735ce9ef4fd97d92f