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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 11:24:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 11:24:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 11:25:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,087.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1000
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
59x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
3,087.34 QUAI
1000 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3087 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x009a1bF8461D62189096dbCa53f4673A02697e0A (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 11:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,087.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
2,944.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x009a1bF8461D62189096dbCa53f4673A02697e0A
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.42 QI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x009a1bF8461D62189096dbCa53f4673A02697e0A
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,087.34 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

2,944.28 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:24:32 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:24:47 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x004300ec5eed6b9e30d81844207e107d24ea5a5aa9c0048b1bb64025cc49d355
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:24:47 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x009a1bF8461D62189096dbCa53f4673A02697e0A
Tx: 0x005a00be96c37c25a6fb63d3a6041cbc7ce1ae8893dad1444ddcd07df89a15ef
Open txWallet profile
143.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:24:32 A.M.
From: 0x002Ff7296dd4C021595f262Dda84d4192830FB32
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0016001debdca3042ce7d9ad1b102bb9332e7926d10a58b81e13678596b92c86
Open txWallet profile
2,944.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:24:32 A.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046005bbd1458c7ca869708e48fcaaecd65f5e864bf24af2303b3eec56a92d5
Open txWallet profile
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:24:32 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00680000495661d3f3c49af46c4203a7e8448ab5301c468182b457a5bbe28d28
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:24:32 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x009a1bF8461D62189096dbCa53f4673A02697e0A
Tx: 0x0010001555c6d8a9381eec10bc3e35efeff0a9b56bce625e89b480055d23ec1f
Open txWallet profile