Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 11:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 11:02:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 11:03:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
31% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 67.58
Unexplained QUAI: 151.33
Explained QI: 2.43
Unexplained QI: 647.58
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
3.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
2
28.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
218.91 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4 • 0x0048beE1645704115a8fC69ccDf3ccE65d2952ec.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 219 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4 • 0x0048beE1645704115a8fC69ccDf3ccE65d2952ec.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 11:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (69% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (31%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
67.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048beE1645704115a8fC69ccDf3ccE65d2952ec
Net receiver
Unknown type
67.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.43 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.43 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
218.91 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:02:10 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:01:05 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
67.58 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:03:14 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
51.73 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:00:02 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:04:18 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
19.88 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 10:58:58 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
61,000 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/25/2026, 11:05:27 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
10 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 10:57:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
67.58 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:02:30 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x0048beE1645704115a8fC69ccDf3ccE65d2952ec
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:02:52 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x005700f02b2e5700db621603ce1c6f3cc9cc3d83c67f8ab0c382cefe5fcb4b73
67.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 11:02:30 A.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x0048beE1645704115a8fC69ccDf3ccE65d2952ec
Tx: 0x0002006f6f6ab1bc92eeb39860b4dc06478ef1ca713e8b37611519c43684295b