Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 8:35:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 8:35:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 8:36:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33.21
Unexplained QUAI: 498.79
Explained QI: 2.78
Unexplained QI: 347.22
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
16x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
532 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 532 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81 • 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 8:35:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
33.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
33.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
2.78 QI across 1 visible row
0x00C5dc25134e9676791b6ADAD9F1873fCc4d9e4b
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.78 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
532 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:35:04 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:34:00 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
33.21 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:36:07 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:32:57 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:37:11 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:31:53 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:38:15 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,015.8 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:30:49 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
33.21 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 8:35:52 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 8:35:53 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C5dc25134e9676791b6ADAD9F1873fCc4d9e4b
Tx: 0x004c00c1b8a46b204758d948d869740fedfb75120fa06082f8b634d931c5e931
33.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 8:35:52 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0066003bd9a95460c31ed30dbfb36be7db6f762db5e7bcc315eed977f4e5157c