Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 8:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 8:05:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 8:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,855.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
0 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
77.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002b1CC482d1550D0Efca3b794aE1CA881DA4aF7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002b1CC482d1550D0Efca3b794aE1CA881DA4aF7.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00Af384Aed1804343f49e3f7C9365aa2d45AD4b2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 8:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,855.77 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002b1CC482d1550D0Efca3b794aE1CA881DA4aF7
Net sender
Unknown type
1,032.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005F081251401B5c7e624443FED556cdA2F96df8
Net sender
Unknown type
436.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040402b5930D2749F5C34F056359083E46d179D
Net sender
Unknown type
386.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00Af384Aed1804343f49e3f7C9365aa2d45AD4b2
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,855.77 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:05:14 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:04:09 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,855.77 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:06:18 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
5.53 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:03:06 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
25.83 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:07:21 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1,033.12 QUAI • 2 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:02:02 A.M.
+3 min
52 tx
1,601.82 QUAI • 66 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:08:25 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
10,937.26 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 8:00:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,032.4 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 8:05:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002b1CC482d1550D0Efca3b794aE1CA881DA4aF7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 8:05:51 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Af384Aed1804343f49e3f7C9365aa2d45AD4b2
Tx: 0x00170086131589efaf6d12e8a6fd5010393bbc555d15809cef80c66cc33e8954
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 8:05:27 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Af384Aed1804343f49e3f7C9365aa2d45AD4b2
Tx: 0x0063003988726cdf04876c5f828f0695b0a78b801bd4ba47f00a31fd7c9b1512
436.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 8:05:27 A.M.
From: 0x005F081251401B5c7e624443FED556cdA2F96df8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00320013eba71b2553982876f1a6ec90c7b278c2d71cce545eb67109a14b2f78
1,032.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 8:05:27 A.M.
From: 0x002b1CC482d1550D0Efca3b794aE1CA881DA4aF7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a006e498b26af1ff91f372710d1f558e47642b580a1531d4f289dbebd07d0
386.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 8:05:27 A.M.
From: 0x0040402b5930D2749F5C34F056359083E46d179D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f0033d6eeb939ac0b16c7af081cb8219e7a307d38de250013d3bdc0fcd09a