Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 7:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 7:54:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 7:55:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 683.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.79
Unexplained QI: 347.21
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045F4bBB13Ac2FF0a3aFbE175ED65fb76e323E1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0045F4bBB13Ac2FF0a3aFbE175ED65fb76e323E1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 7:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
619.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0045F4bBB13Ac2FF0a3aFbE175ED65fb76e323E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
619.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
64.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
64.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
2.79 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 619.06 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
2,653.88 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:53:31 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:54:35 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:52:28 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
683.57 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:55:39 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
19,999.11 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:51:24 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:56:42 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:50:21 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:57:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
619.06 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 7:54:46 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0045F4bBB13Ac2FF0a3aFbE175ED65fb76e323E1
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
64.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 7:54:46 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006400270261ccbb5da4c85fc831a5b7fe996901df05969b6c0bbba1313fbbbc
619.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 7:54:46 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0045F4bBB13Ac2FF0a3aFbE175ED65fb76e323E1
Tx: 0x001b0029f8438aba012d2a160fd9eba0f02dea8aba8a4323d7ccbc61e4d7231e
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 7:54:27 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Af384Aed1804343f49e3f7C9365aa2d45AD4b2
Tx: 0x007c00a58db9109dc920c54e61679335053e3dd9e4496bd76cf7f3bb6d6064f2
