Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 7:01:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 7:01:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 7:02:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7.72
Unexplained QUAI: 93.24
Explained QI: 2.78
Unexplained QI: 347.22
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
13x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
100.96 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 • 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 101 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 • 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 7:01:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
7.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Net receiver
Unknown type
7.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
2.78 QI across 1 visible row
0x00C1Ef6F15859bd0b7ad28C1879678A4c001212b
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.78 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
100.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:01:08 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,127.62 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:00:04 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
7.72 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:02:12 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
20,049.05 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 6:59:01 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:03:16 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/25/2026, 6:57:57 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
15.69 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/25/2026, 7:04:25 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
52.58 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/25/2026, 6:56:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7.72 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 7:01:31 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 7:01:31 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00C1Ef6F15859bd0b7ad28C1879678A4c001212b
Tx: 0x000c00fc96d887f87b0cbf875bf7b2924046fd3fd039033a941dbb4074ac7051
7.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 7:01:31 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x007400510d702034ee269d7586259f05701b2206f40bb6ed22e3e1b45211cffe