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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 6:27:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 6:27:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 6:28:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 229.84
Unexplained QUAI: 18,110.16
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
7.7x above local average
80x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
18,340 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00f5d048b5E65A45139BDdb42c1caB23596eCF8a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 18340 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00f5d048b5E65A45139BDdb42c1caB23596eCF8a.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00f5d048b5E65A45139BDdb42c1caB23596eCF8a (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 6:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.8 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00f5d048b5E65A45139BDdb42c1caB23596eCF8a
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.8 QI across 2 visible rows
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
186.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
186.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
42.91 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00f5d048b5E65A45139BDdb42c1caB23596eCF8a
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 6:27:56 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f5d048b5E65A45139BDdb42c1caB23596eCF8a
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

4 transactions
42.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 6:27:56 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003d00048585406f3d3c109c42e97b7a86966ed5c42f40da7469c305f487e344
186.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 6:27:56 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000a0004b2a86f10dfc1716d90b128908aa0629350a00aead80608d42d690b54
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 6:27:56 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f5d048b5E65A45139BDdb42c1caB23596eCF8a
Tx: 0x0009006eb3a5024d2389a5bdcb5ce5f961a842ea1dd060171522d2816ba81550
Open txWallet profile
2.8 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 6:27:37 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f5d048b5E65A45139BDdb42c1caB23596eCF8a
Tx: 0x004500ddb8882064732e3d1c975fb9a9f8c46314423eff21e60034fd91045b35
Open txWallet profile