Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 6:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 6:13:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 6:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
3% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19.76
Unexplained QUAI: 622.33
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.9x previous minute
32x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
642.1 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00a999cB01ED54b3e1D9868cBa8e68f933ef7eeE.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 642 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00a999cB01ED54b3e1D9868cBa8e68f933ef7eeE.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00a999cB01ED54b3e1D9868cBa8e68f933ef7eeE (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 6:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00a999cB01ED54b3e1D9868cBa8e68f933ef7eeE
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
19.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
19.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00a999cB01ED54b3e1D9868cBa8e68f933ef7eeE
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
642.1 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 6:13:09 A.M.
-1 min
28 tx
714.64 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/25/2026, 6:12:05 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
19.76 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 6:14:15 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/25/2026, 6:11:01 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
30.37 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 6:15:19 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,507.42 QUAI • 67 addresses
10/25/2026, 6:09:58 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
36,200 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 6:16:23 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/25/2026, 6:08:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 6:13:30 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00a999cB01ED54b3e1D9868cBa8e68f933ef7eeE
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 6:13:45 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00a999cB01ED54b3e1D9868cBa8e68f933ef7eeE
Tx: 0x005900f6fa1e2f281e35583444a53f48a7bf076220048347731bdfbc0f1aca5e
19.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 6:13:30 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x002f0027322568c1640825266b632e7c96accd261e406d77a022947df72c8480
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 6:13:30 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00a999cB01ED54b3e1D9868cBa8e68f933ef7eeE
Tx: 0x0071006a7f14414be0047bf93c3d60bcc357de0bbe70c4b0f807f5f4b39e4c1a