Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 5:56:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 5:56:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 5:57:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
13% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11.04
Unexplained QUAI: 70.82
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
7.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
81.86 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x008c7b1B792CFAA938D855a3CF37ac7339C2cf07.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 82 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x008c7b1B792CFAA938D855a3CF37ac7339C2cf07.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x008c7b1B792CFAA938D855a3CF37ac7339C2cf07 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 5:56:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x008c7b1B792CFAA938D855a3CF37ac7339C2cf07
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
11.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Net receiver
Unknown type
11.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x008c7b1B792CFAA938D855a3CF37ac7339C2cf07
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
81.86 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:56:06 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:55:03 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
11.04 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:57:10 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
3,376 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:53:59 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:58:14 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:52:55 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
33.83 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:59:17 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/25/2026, 5:51:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:56:04 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008c7b1B792CFAA938D855a3CF37ac7339C2cf07
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
11.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:56:43 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x003d00643920eaf4a94b6af3b6e06718b11e55d80db5b0d0b6a03e3d657ab380
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:56:32 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008c7b1B792CFAA938D855a3CF37ac7339C2cf07
Tx: 0x004900abd04168f9e1dfd28c8d820fbd927728c78dd968600f6cf9d5d98eafdc
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 5:56:04 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008c7b1B792CFAA938D855a3CF37ac7339C2cf07
Tx: 0x005e007647019d4985921187b340051bd7a31a9eace31b751339d52fb40b6022