Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 3:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 3:53:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:54:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
10% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 105.45
Unexplained QUAI: 958.81
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
10x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
4
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
1,064.27 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1064 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (90% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (10%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
5.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
1,064.27 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:53:18 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
2,912.66 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:52:15 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
105.45 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:54:26 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
3,085.5 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:51:11 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
3,235.5 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:50:07 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:55:30 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate3 tx
61,961.28 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:49:03 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
200 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:56:35 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:53:15 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
5.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:53:41 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x002f000c7e4ff3657b4322eb8694607c63362da2a8f49695088407e18487102a
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:53:37 A.M.
From: 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003600298746868f1f98e769585add19e2dc92989222435198559adea49505e3
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:53:15 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007500b545beae8c22dfc2d9cf8c5232b53169747edd54d2f585de94ad7353ef
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:53:15 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70
Tx: 0x001d00ef5c202c99b514413c00bd04edb3485e134e7e2b4ecb6f22eeb067a94f