Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 3:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 3:52:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:53:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
37% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,064.27
Unexplained QUAI: 1,848.39
Explained QI: 650
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.9x previous minute
2.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
2,912.66 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2913 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
2,912.66 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:52:15 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
3,085.5 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:51:11 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,064.27 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:53:18 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
3,235.5 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:50:07 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
105.45 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:54:26 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
61,961.28 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:49:03 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
50,755.81 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:47:58 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:55:30 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:52:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
64.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:52:34 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000e006c491a5db4b23d1d5c8f425dd0bda7e4b63c55e322e96177d9ab6f9b54
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:52:34 A.M.
From: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x001300293ec9991f00f68415ef33968634d5fc67a8adf3162dd3036f8a5669c1
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:52:34 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70
Tx: 0x0051006013cca9b14504fc4f5e833dd0c22a7b88cc013236010b402caa2970f4
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:52:34 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x001c006367a1c1983f8a1d2193338d603aba83297343ff2d77fdfbf56062a68c