Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 3:49:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 3:49:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:50:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
5% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,085.5
Unexplained QUAI: 58,875.78
Explained QI: 650
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
1.2x previous minute
19x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
61,961.28 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
84.8%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00486c55A3Bb33E240853Ae40335a28A458bD499 • 0x002a1F63E896A8bD439F0E306De0C8f662D9E7B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 61961 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00486c55A3Bb33E240853Ae40335a28A458bD499 • 0x002a1F63E896A8bD439F0E306De0C8f662D9E7B9.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:49:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00486c55A3Bb33E240853Ae40335a28A458bD499
Net sender
Unknown type
2,915.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a1F63E896A8bD439F0E306De0C8f662D9E7B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,915.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
61,961.28 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:49:03 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
50,755.81 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:47:58 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
3,235.5 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:50:07 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:46:53 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
3,085.5 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:51:11 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
190 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:45:50 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
2,912.66 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:52:15 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:44:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,915.5 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:49:11 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00486c55A3Bb33E240853Ae40335a28A458bD499
To: 0x002a1F63E896A8bD439F0E306De0C8f662D9E7B9
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:49:43 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Tx: 0x00410090ae319e6132e53995edcd1f3281d63b0f1a4dbd9a122236b7b6696972
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:49:35 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x001c00743f1bb9e13ac1e8c35579e4127401abdcdbd81a3c99b6b8b81085bc87
170 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:49:23 A.M.
From: 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
To: 0x004a68243D52fb51dBEa43F1E373784149c83696
Tx: 0x0036000f272f1af7f636ddf653e4f0e5900df767f2974eff1816a8226c0ded71
2,915.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:49:11 A.M.
From: 0x00486c55A3Bb33E240853Ae40335a28A458bD499
To: 0x002a1F63E896A8bD439F0E306De0C8f662D9E7B9
Tx: 0x00120062c63425b1337af97eecf68c758c329d614b0cb75d701f45f74c949060
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:49:11 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Tx: 0x004500315ab8c42146d2fc6d1f0edac89165071a29be39c4a367c8f02d8cce8c