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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 3:47:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 3:47:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:48:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50,755.81
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1000
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
267x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
50,755.81 QUAI
1000 QI
Avg confidence
78.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 50756 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413.
0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7 -> 0x007D1E2AB4Dacc07aFE3c3ebff36a1eB11eeCDe6 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 3 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:47:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
50,235.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
Net receiver
Unknown type
50,235.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Net receiver
Unknown type
700 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
Net sender
Unknown type
520 QUAI across 4 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7 → 0x007D1E2AB4Dacc07aFE3c3ebff36a1eB11eeCDe6
3 repeated flows • 370 QUAI
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
2 repeated flows • 700 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 50,235.81 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

50,235.81 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:47:05 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:47:35 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x000100effd8261371880988571b946388c66de634f55103c6a7f7fb86beb6cea
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:47:35 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Tx: 0x006600b873a585e3ee2eecd645527d2accb826ad541b865fd442217c236b6b77
Open txWallet profile
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:47:09 A.M.
From: 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
To: 0x007D1E2AB4Dacc07aFE3c3ebff36a1eB11eeCDe6
Tx: 0x002b0007e6f58f319de03ba61ec4fd753ca7e2fb77284632f2688e5ad32a7acc
120 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:47:09 A.M.
From: 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
To: 0x007D1E2AB4Dacc07aFE3c3ebff36a1eB11eeCDe6
Tx: 0x002f002671e4694d591be8d953134ce7ed440a388c3f826f757e48b49f27cea2
150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:47:09 A.M.
From: 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
To: 0x000213fF5b440eCB4f7ab2b14B6E3Dd24420FC4B
Tx: 0x007800493a6928a872622fda9a5eff074392770fb3d401cd12adb482348b62ca
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:47:05 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Tx: 0x006b005d5c1514b3ce4585afe1c62b39d603a1580f0f7b4f31f73200115e53c5
Open txWallet profile
150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:47:05 A.M.
From: 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
To: 0x007D1E2AB4Dacc07aFE3c3ebff36a1eB11eeCDe6
Tx: 0x0047000c602c904ef4173a5ebb580fcd766acc82d15d56af69e2a091aa388c06
50,235.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:47:05 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00349865429c8EBA272738DDFc05e1e8a4d0B413
Tx: 0x00490004fff44fe224416dd175c1c62d9e25d4c3aea42aa128606fae37f6e169
Open txWallet profile
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:47:05 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x005b0033e091fbc3754f84c23cc797af75dd93af2f5b646e740d92fd746b914d