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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 3:40:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:41:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 128.34
Unexplained QUAI: 13,350.25
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
15x previous minute
105x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
13,478.59 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 13479 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x007b3a2Db43408a12Cf86dD868dE832E4dbf7350
Net sender
Unknown type
128.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
128.34 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

3 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 5. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:40:28 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:40:52 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Tx: 0x0070009c50ac18042f225073280d81056d87d3765e4e7deca97eca098619e43d
Open txWallet profile
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:40:28 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Tx: 0x0067005e46f122802e225b1f4d2849009cccfa61968691eadfbd1600bd6955b2
Open txWallet profile
128.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:40:28 A.M.
From: 0x007b3a2Db43408a12Cf86dD868dE832E4dbf7350
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00070077a025a537d160ce45e5c8d00970ee61a6e14ad4e406054aab2bf72b41
Open txWallet profile