Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 3:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 3:36:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:37:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
65% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,349.15
Unexplained QUAI: 1,767.53
Explained QI: 1000
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 90% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.4x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
9
81.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
34
Asset volume
5,116.68 QUAI
1000 QI
Avg confidence
83.1%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 5117 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence medium • Source address-path-single
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (35% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,130.52 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,015.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
702.78 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Net receiver
Unknown type
702.78 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.42 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
3 repeated flows • 700 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
5,116.68 QUAI • 34 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:36:13 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
14,127.12 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:35:08 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate15 tx
16,297.51 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:37:17 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
5,324.78 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:34:04 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
4,002.1 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:38:21 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
447.07 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:32:59 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
895.33 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:39:25 A.M.
-4 min
22 tx
13,611.89 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:31:54 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,015.07 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:36:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:36:49 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x005200c77ab49c05349f612cd31e5ba1bcd7b14869495397a2b4606918d8175f
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:36:49 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Tx: 0x005700b19e6204f151fd68f1786adcdfd5faf23ab584d444d70b5984591bab90
3,015.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:36:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007C324612C259c8591f52DA8C11B5B44Bd83F73
Tx: 0x0021006e8f00e1e447c0b9617559965f8b19ed7c8b5685d2d1677c4c638f0765
116.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:36:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007D3dA731fe6b2b8Cc79B8d98F0A07A3956e0e2
Tx: 0x0060006b4b564cfa4a5e20fa43c4b8d7fbf1aa16c0e771e9d88473a033687870
115.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:36:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007bE63B8A9EdF68F26aEe2E782c910Bbce2163F
Tx: 0x005f000bd2b0564238d26726b722ff09c479019b9fef11f519d2ead39f2ad55c
102.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:36:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007ca08a7A4af9EaAF093370E3eFEa93A788cc43
Tx: 0x000e007d215e31404eb1833cbf6156e9cf7d3c42b35c3ad1dfa9fb9d5a9267a7
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:36:35 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x002b0019e0c1f0884639f693ba261a2d51a28ef26bcafd7874c7f3788327bb2b
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:36:35 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Tx: 0x001b00771a29e66da18fe4bcf64f829cf95522af985b79f7535b231abb8d231f
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:36:00 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00abB82b6f3aEC1eBB969AbEFb2E50e08b189826
Tx: 0x005200a47388968e7553c6b67c955e9dad3ff2653481d37b4b0178b5348be407
