Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 3:15:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,965.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.78
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
8,965.03 QUAI
2.78 QI
Avg confidence
66.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8965 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 -> 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,795.59 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,774.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,143.39 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005F03fB091D5763c98926f155978799d3C5aeFA
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,821.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,485.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 → 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
2 repeated flows • 26.05 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
3,157.81 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:14:48 A.M.
-1 min
13 tx
21,543.33 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:13:43 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
8,965.03 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:15:52 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
17,542.44 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:12:39 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
7,104.41 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:16:56 A.M.
-3 min
41 tx
7,060.69 QUAI • 61 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:11:33 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate20 tx
26,013.55 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:18:01 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
5,591.49 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:19:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,774.19 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
1,821.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005F03fB091D5763c98926f155978799d3C5aeFA
Tx: 0x0032007334c556bd5c54dbb99b393be198d090956c538a9f29f7520130bb04a4
535.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0061602a3dF8B527a69bc84bF41dA6610a8DC044
Tx: 0x0070005fbcec1e70082915a4476d90fa01ff6c30cac5dfbbce801f7c73cbee06
3,774.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x001000134e48f57773074dc0b9216527eb9812cc9a4cc7bb6b8c98519b1d8f4e
1,003.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005Db56306D6cCEd8244AA2e13a0508eFae8ECa4
Tx: 0x0038007549a74e9b818dd22b889318c490e311169ee6bd45b923a96413a561bb
15.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:15 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x002800526cca3954353650972dc0f2d8d56f038cc8eabdaff60123fb6a0c5801
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:08 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00AB2349E4760727B57DB55fB7470BdD710d80f0
Tx: 0x003500b3e5af8e0b71ded9a8cb3afad6e0cc7ee984dfe4010c9d4404ff82a892
318.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005D0668Ca2EB9Af2F4b6dCfAe61A188253827dD
Tx: 0x001e000e21e5484248aedd479cfa44ef659f4b1dff097d829531018867722c1c
1,485.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Tx: 0x000f001c1091f05645f265ec3da9855db11834351d32b749c737201158248ba4
10.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:08 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x0064002ef455914ff497adf40976061c8485722d2f14b367f825eae811cb753f
