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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 3:15:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,965.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.78
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
8,965.03 QUAI
2.78 QI
Avg confidence
66.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8965 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 -> 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,795.59 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,774.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,143.39 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005F03fB091D5763c98926f155978799d3C5aeFA
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,821.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,485.56 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7 → 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
2 repeated flows • 26.05 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

3,774.19 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
1,821.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005F03fB091D5763c98926f155978799d3C5aeFA
Tx: 0x0032007334c556bd5c54dbb99b393be198d090956c538a9f29f7520130bb04a4
Open txWallet profile
535.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0061602a3dF8B527a69bc84bF41dA6610a8DC044
Tx: 0x0070005fbcec1e70082915a4476d90fa01ff6c30cac5dfbbce801f7c73cbee06
3,774.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x001000134e48f57773074dc0b9216527eb9812cc9a4cc7bb6b8c98519b1d8f4e
1,003.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005Db56306D6cCEd8244AA2e13a0508eFae8ECa4
Tx: 0x0038007549a74e9b818dd22b889318c490e311169ee6bd45b923a96413a561bb
15.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:15 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x002800526cca3954353650972dc0f2d8d56f038cc8eabdaff60123fb6a0c5801
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:08 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00AB2349E4760727B57DB55fB7470BdD710d80f0
Tx: 0x003500b3e5af8e0b71ded9a8cb3afad6e0cc7ee984dfe4010c9d4404ff82a892
Open txWallet profile
318.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005D0668Ca2EB9Af2F4b6dCfAe61A188253827dD
Tx: 0x001e000e21e5484248aedd479cfa44ef659f4b1dff097d829531018867722c1c
1,485.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Tx: 0x000f001c1091f05645f265ec3da9855db11834351d32b749c737201158248ba4
10.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:15:08 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x003a572942591D8cea1B15EecABd21c38CDa2FEE
Tx: 0x0064002ef455914ff497adf40976061c8485722d2f14b367f825eae811cb753f