Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 3:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 3:09:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 3:10:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 27,922.36
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 2.43
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
2.0x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
58
Observable rows
8
13.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
70
Asset volume
11,717.2 QUAI
2.43 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 11717 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 3:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,331.4 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,581.61 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,571.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
58 tx
11,717.2 QUAI • 70 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:09:22 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
5,989.03 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:08:17 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate11 tx
26,043.1 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:10:27 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1,917.52 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:07:13 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
9,676.24 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:06:09 A.M.
+3 min
41 tx
7,060.69 QUAI • 61 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:11:33 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
8,003.54 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:05:04 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
17,542.44 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/25/2026, 3:12:39 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.07 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:09:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
10.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:09:30 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x004533A6DE4ba274c6e99343952B1A3c75e7C239
Tx: 0x007f005f8485d16da9fc182ac7f829f715060e94d638a418aec8381dce77645f
127.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:09:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: StratumX miner
0x0058199deA006A7d58dA686D18c0EB43Ca046765
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x00540033be41cba208c9a2b235ad7e6f4c2e1fe083b852f4af16ef89f9b00fa1
103.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:09:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0053E9fdF56E58dce123AAC0145DD24DDB6Ea507
Tx: 0x000d00405d7e7fcdeea0acd607c0e8e1e1b60521e7a3f3a3cd000ac7feb339fe
19,999.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:09:30 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x0048003eab48e9de75eb1034e67ff9dd58d780b801ea77177180c303f520a56c
2,806.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:09:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0053C7611081EcD018f943566A33E04bc86e12E1
Tx: 0x004c005f9db3a26ef2ea75f36cf042b7382af88812b90f854178a41e7847e310
632.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:09:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
Tx: 0x001e0018316d657712763d60723e27864eeefe029a97ba3d2241a0f3121dc002
671.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0052d1507B3FD77A7e125096dB43ec321CD4831e
Tx: 0x0027001039e8761ed310f72ab725f5f0461c03713026c197c8a078bb5af55ef7
3,571.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 3:09:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Tx: 0x0005002c18096d62d2fb745b22e60b33ca29e22b36865dc04347ebeaecbc8a1a
