Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 2:51:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
33% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,052.25
Unexplained QUAI: 2,123.76
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.5x previous minute
0.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
3,176.01 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
71.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3176 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
600.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Net receiver
Unknown type
600.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
384.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0043486d89F5C5176015614d759CBe17d4F2FE16
Net receiver
Unknown type
384.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
3,176.01 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:51:10 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
2,134.6 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:50:06 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
4,269.43 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:52:15 A.M.
-2 min
22 tx
14,092.89 QUAI • 34 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:49:01 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
4,559.18 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:53:19 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
2,024.24 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:47:57 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
14,459.95 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:54:25 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate10 tx
14,870.09 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:46:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
600.06 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:51:47 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
384.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:51:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0043486d89F5C5176015614d759CBe17d4F2FE16
Tx: 0x00700046ba8d06663e757a5f02f66ece44642c83c0ab3d277644254317f2de93
600.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:51:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Tx: 0x0035005f049c6bc08101cbbc6336de0b61144826aca5d11d2fadc329e41a0b40
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:51:47 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0098Ec8b3Bc10c2E8dAD330bCd74eC8543a603d6
Tx: 0x00120054b5f9fbb89328ba61f22567987c7ae7b3c725b4345a5145182b795922
67.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:51:47 A.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x0048beE1645704115a8fC69ccDf3ccE65d2952ec
Tx: 0x004d00623ac81bed85b64607ae069951e445fff4cb332e30eb3a77aa575c9195