Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 2:49:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
15% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,134.6
Unexplained QUAI: 11,958.29
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
7.0x previous minute
6.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
22
Observable rows
8
36.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
34
Asset volume
14,092.89 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
71.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 14093 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac.
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA -> 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 2:49:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,375.12 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,090.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
759.48 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Net receiver
Unknown type
515.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.43 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
22 tx
14,092.89 QUAI • 34 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:49:01 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
2,024.24 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:47:57 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
2,134.6 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:50:06 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate10 tx
14,870.09 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:46:53 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
3,176.01 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:51:10 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
8,977.43 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:45:49 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
4,269.43 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:52:15 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
5,003.65 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:44:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,090.64 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:49:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
2.43 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:49:53 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007b00aeb141bdff84c5e98a05cb8c963075d658b17fbf059497241ba8230ee9
121.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:49:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: StratumX miner
0x0042cd7b12A9ef3B6d1f6deFe55447873B191729
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x005d0026dd18e5b8a77ec4ee8b2d11bf1346d0553d6a37a96de92e586d6b1e24
171.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:49:50 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: StratumX miner
0x0042cd7b12A9ef3B6d1f6deFe55447873B191729
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x006100136ad4606b864cf091a3fcbeac7e3d8fa4d12408642e2d35a1112b8744
112.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:49:42 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0042771f03ac01A2E0500030391d2f927BAA4ec4
Tx: 0x007c00691810f6d13ba75a45afda00e2d0338c4e7f95d4cfc350805795e9c132
515.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:49:42 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Tx: 0x00590012a288c7aa038144a5e2fd68379d882a52563218f89adee47b2ffe53ff
1,090.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:49:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0041647eC31612a3f4406eA99d17bfE1E389C4Ac
Tx: 0x001300509d0162b4de7dad286f6db02b9dbbcadf3d961ab959aa964d90f8c94c
122.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:49:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD
Tx: 0x0050006acf328141141e7ad8b0fd119e22e961cb565c4670b166495c2b1c16d3
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:49:06 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x005b0044654b0401f1f49f5a487e656a0e642eb389480492eed76a5ac1a76cf2