Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 2:44:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
74% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,722.62
Unexplained QUAI: 1,281.03
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 28% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
9
90.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
5,003.65 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 5004 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA -> 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (26% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,883.87 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,838.75 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,053.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Net receiver
Unknown type
974.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00389d6003B44DD71FCFF1d7A1a47f7eBCD82496
Net receiver
Unknown type
802.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
341.21 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:43:41 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate23 tx
35,263.88 QUAI • 44 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:42:37 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
5,003.65 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:44:45 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:41:32 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
8,977.43 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:45:49 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
14,870.09 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:46:53 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
10,122.04 QUAI • 6 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:40:29 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
2,024.24 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:47:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,053.81 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:44:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
802.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:44:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00389d6003B44DD71FCFF1d7A1a47f7eBCD82496
Tx: 0x007e00241bf92c9f4ab06fc929ee3a0132752859bb9045dc50162da619550552
531.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:44:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Tx: 0x004600077a796b32b81b52a481d8203990e4b992b0175d52d34f0aad92bc34d3
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:44:34 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x002500d786557fe1c04c9f3ca6663cbc461a25169f5acb5a8e79c6ed071973a7
1,053.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:44:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398071350FB6D60588fb47364fd9933bB9F997
Tx: 0x0011006cbe4ff83f659992972fac3da3247388880ff666849f986a374a5e04a8
974.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:44:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003892F4E565E6d8c0494f4bdf524029173C9916
Tx: 0x0070007fccf1c50ec945dec67c03e3697097f1d75c902baf99ce6d4705b2ef6c
2.78 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:44:12 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00E9506128a46D516b1f3cF50a97554f476593D4
Tx: 0x001e00de5b40153711044ea111da032b62fb81a72cf4db4493b9b44a2e1a2e6a
106.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:44:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00368E35140810AC2588C44A4454DD059b159Aec
Tx: 0x000700246a048c2191d451075df8aeb260bb8852d30f86423bf330f165779330
253.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:44:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
Tx: 0x001100298520fc421c3856226a3a7c84c75548c98d1a49104c4bfa8900f03743
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:44:03 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x000b0043c99169547215a019df72c1d61dd18ccf4be9c32eb548c0a4a1961755
