Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 2:39:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,451.16
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.41
Unexplained QI: 297.6
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.8x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
8,776.26 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0034A1701EDdd7750fbE4945FB90e070FEda195E.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 8776 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0034A1701EDdd7750fbE4945FB90e070FEda195E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
9,133.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034A1701EDdd7750fbE4945FB90e070FEda195E
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,133.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
317.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
Net receiver
Unknown type
317.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.41 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
8,776.26 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:39:25 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
10,393.84 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:38:21 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
10,122.04 QUAI • 6 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:40:29 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
10,339.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:37:16 A.M.
-3 min
13 tx
6,492.04 QUAI • 37 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:36:12 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:41:32 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
2,390.15 QUAI • 6 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:35:08 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate23 tx
35,263.88 QUAI • 44 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:42:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9,133.95 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:39:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034A1701EDdd7750fbE4945FB90e070FEda195E
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
9,133.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:39:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0034A1701EDdd7750fbE4945FB90e070FEda195E
Tx: 0x005c0054a20658cd6a759f336eae814565d44c1160863e7c85e37d65f504576b
317.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:39:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
Tx: 0x0013005b7879c28c34e8a4a1a73fb262a09024d81dbe9bae79375f1b676afa8d
2.41 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:39:17 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00780097c5e491165ebbd4e44e6385f45d7f6ba67ee627a1b1d82a9b7247d864
