Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 2:22:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
45% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,063.21
Unexplained QUAI: 2,493.81
Explained QI: 650
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
4,557.02 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00180199fd8acE48A179b407f98e5dfdBEC25d89.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4557 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00180199fd8acE48A179b407f98e5dfdBEC25d89.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00Dc31cC7108e297b1F324bB48d967D47ef8bEFd (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (55% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (45%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,038.44 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00180199fd8acE48A179b407f98e5dfdBEC25d89
Net receiver
Unknown type
930.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
683.38 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001Eda6B985a28e6ce542825bC5839f5Ab8E89d4
Net receiver
Unknown type
570.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00Dc31cC7108e297b1F324bB48d967D47ef8bEFd
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
4,557.02 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:22:18 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:21:14 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
9,053.65 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:23:22 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
13,986.15 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:20:10 A.M.
+2 min
19 tx
13,683.12 QUAI • 41 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:24:27 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate16 tx
14,081.53 QUAI • 34 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:19:05 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
13,759.34 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/25/2026, 2:25:31 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
930.08 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:22:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00180199fd8acE48A179b407f98e5dfdBEC25d89
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
234.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:22:59 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005E596FbDFe0A92c3980eB95a422f9306E02FD6
Tx: 0x006100580561eeb65e30304263608f2874649eb59eedc5c885f5621a35107e68
112.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:22:59 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00216895477216ca4FB0DE5e1232eea13Be80dE7
Tx: 0x0062000b9d496a8e56002995ec2291dcb16117091cd938937fcc04ae1143fb35
108.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:22:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0019E7335eeaFA078cE009813473919390AcfF96
Tx: 0x0021001ac34d2ce9f49772ef253db49a26c14f80a97b1cea851248dfbffa2a99
106.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:22:44 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005aF2683fAc9733B9F767C7ADAd7f3E0864cE0B
Tx: 0x0055007ff0afc839c1706b1e31b5efc04ca484b92a8b779d33c2c7a5d5287e83
570.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:22:44 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001Eda6B985a28e6ce542825bC5839f5Ab8E89d4
Tx: 0x004d000ebf3fea7c8646e97398efb84366da169f29a5b2cec9004a399b2b415f
930.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:22:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00180199fd8acE48A179b407f98e5dfdBEC25d89
Tx: 0x00570062caf2bdc2b9cee6b82338ff53ca5517432b02cdb47f3103a0eadf4920
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:22:44 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x004900377f98f369c1b60160e1237915bb5694305f9ee54b70051f0fb1aab721
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:22:44 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Dc31cC7108e297b1F324bB48d967D47ef8bEFd
Tx: 0x0037006d07060f93516073b3d8834e3f43947a72b7b5f19b7469de95fca61b73
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 2:22:04 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Dc31cC7108e297b1F324bB48d967D47ef8bEFd
Tx: 0x003900d8f156c8aa792f5ba5cbf6e6ee1f30718f7a4479be6f8dcfad4935fcf6