Spike bucket
10/25/2026, 1:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/25/2026, 1:17:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 1:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
23% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15.86
Unexplained QUAI: 53.86
Explained QI: 650
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
4.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
69.71 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
83.7%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 70 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 1:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.42 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.42 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
15.86 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
69.71 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/25/2026, 1:17:10 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 1:16:05 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
15.86 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/25/2026, 1:18:14 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
10.87 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/25/2026, 1:15:02 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/25/2026, 1:19:18 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/25/2026, 1:13:57 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/25/2026, 1:20:22 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
311.5 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/25/2026, 1:12:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:33 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:59 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x003800d0f42c3353b03220abfea8e4b7d75f1f85e1f59b8a1e8f970894366221
10.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:56 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00310031db4944d1c91e2f0230b53011fb2b14635aeadde372d8243e42546424
2.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:56 A.M.
From: 0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a00549575ce030f3e684bf8efab631f5efe47b3de5b02bcac2af11a3603cf
2.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:56 A.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007f00390dc91275a752ed89a028036521fe3be407b7ba5579ce47cf01505e29
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:33 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf
Tx: 0x0067001c7647e7dbc599bbe8387ceaf472c60d829b4490c5f6e1fbba5b0fb3ac
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:12 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf
Tx: 0x007d00937e8b776ab1628172b18d77c87e8f20077fd3f75ae0718fbe6dcbba1d
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:08 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x001b000162cd20bb61c9b7d49054f49c34e843fed831b7e14d6bf0ce56ffb844
