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Spike bucket

10/25/2026, 1:17:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/25/2026, 1:17:00 A.M. to 10/25/2026, 1:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
23% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15.86
Unexplained QUAI: 53.86
Explained QI: 650
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
4.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
69.71 QUAI
650 QI
Avg confidence
83.7%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 70 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/25/2026, 1:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.79 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.42 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.42 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
15.86 QUAI across 3 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

350 QI
Whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:33 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:59 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x003800d0f42c3353b03220abfea8e4b7d75f1f85e1f59b8a1e8f970894366221
10.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:56 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00310031db4944d1c91e2f0230b53011fb2b14635aeadde372d8243e42546424
2.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:56 A.M.
From: 0x007510f999E7B68BA84EeC7f9ABC0E3F0547C2BD
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a00549575ce030f3e684bf8efab631f5efe47b3de5b02bcac2af11a3603cf
2.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:56 A.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007f00390dc91275a752ed89a028036521fe3be407b7ba5579ce47cf01505e29
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:33 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf
Tx: 0x0067001c7647e7dbc599bbe8387ceaf472c60d829b4490c5f6e1fbba5b0fb3ac
Open txWallet profile
2.79 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:12 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008559952835F60c9746981733A0875E9DC56BCf
Tx: 0x007d00937e8b776ab1628172b18d77c87e8f20077fd3f75ae0718fbe6dcbba1d
Open txWallet profile
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/25/2026, 1:17:08 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x001b000162cd20bb61c9b7d49054f49c34e843fed831b7e14d6bf0ce56ffb844