Spike bucket
10/24/2026, 11:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/24/2026, 11:11:00 P.M. to 10/24/2026, 11:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,720.06
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/24/2026, 11:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,720.06 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004AC3051C3CF518fCEB00534ee7f62d058c7869
Net sender
Unknown type
407.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
Net sender
Unknown type
105.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6
Net sender
Unknown type
105.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,720.06 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
28 tx
13,642.66 QUAI • 47 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:10:36 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate52 tx
102,294.92 QUAI • 70 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:09:31 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:11:39 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
1,735.54 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:12:44 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:08:27 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:13:48 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
36.03 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:07:24 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/24/2026, 11:14:51 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 11:11:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
407.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 11:11:40 P.M.
From: 0x004AC3051C3CF518fCEB00534ee7f62d058c7869
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0063003f53a6d98c8a12cab1558c09f939bccc5b5f61ee14ad070c90144f76bb
101.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 11:11:40 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0026004dcc7177c623b22a98bf6694052f0331bde011b62521c33fde18a6da1a
105.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 11:11:40 P.M.
From: 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0065006f7d09a2ce4322e5a8beb03d23799f1ac1f2d7908b3948f6e44652ff86
105.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 11:11:40 P.M.
From: 0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0039004f99885ad703b960e0dcae781ec44470e3d68396d01c3dc31fa49ed5c7
1,000.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/24/2026, 11:11:40 P.M.
From: 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0047004a753c25b1855013412e008793aa20f7cf8895f5015696055b4a3e2010
